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Stocks End Inside-Out After Fed-Speak May 22, 2013

May 2013 Rally Fizzles, Is This A Buying Opportunity? The stock market lost ground yesterday after Fed speak hyped the equity buyers but sellers took over.  We anticipated a distribution day and traders changed sentiment with little economic data to end upward momentum. We expected an increase in volatility and the inside-outside movement yesterday was no[…]

The 3 Most Important Highlights From The FOMC Rate Decision May 1 2013

FOMC Does Not Signal End To QE: The FOMC’s statement today was strong/bullish but most of the attention was not on the lack of inflation or that the FOMC could make additional bond purchases.  ADP’s data today showed the economy is exceptionally weak with only 119 private jobs in April 2013 The 3 Most Important[…]

Disappointing First Quarter 2013 GDP Growth At 2.5 Percent Will Keep Fed On Hold

Disappointing First Quarter 2013 GDP Growth At 2.5 Percent Will Keep Fed On Hold: Sometimes bad news is good news.  Yes, everyone would prefer better economic numbers, but that’s not happening and the political economy risk that has threatened the U.S. economy for the last few years is taking root again. Sequestration and the increase[…]

S&P 500 Nears All-Time High After FOMC March Rate Decision

Fed March 2013 Decision Keeps Rates Unchanged: The S&P 500 came within 4 points of the all-time closing high after the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged.  Stocks meandered through the session but got a bounce after the FOMC decision to keep interest rates at current levels was announced.  Equities retreated late in the[…]

Dow Has First 9 Day Winning Streak Since 1996 On February 2013 Retail Sales, Traders Cautious

Dow Has First 9 Day Winning Streak Since 1996 On February 2013 Retail Sales, Traders Cautious: When will we start talking about the Fed again? Traders picked up on upward momentum in midday trading as the Dow rose marginally in a cautious trading environment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average barely gained for the day closing[…]

Unemployment Rate Drops To 7.7 from 7.9 Percent: Is QE Over?

Unemployment Rate Drops To 7.7 from 7.9 Percent: Is QE Over? Unemployment rate drops to the lowest level in 4 years. Yesterday the unemployment report showed the U.S. economy is gaining strength.  The U.S. economy added 236,000 jobs last month, according to the Labor Department report released Friday.  The January data was revised down from[…]

The February 2013 Rally May Not Be Over, Month End Analysis:

The February 2013 Rally May Not Be Over, Month End Analysis: The February 2013 rally still has legs and is part of one of the most underrated, unloved stock market rallies of all-time.  Most managers missed the rally all of last year and some were quick to short it when relative strength indicators for the[…]

FOMC January 2013 Meeting Minutes Put A Damper On Stocks

FOMC January 2013 Meeting Minutes Put A Damper On Stocks: Some committee members think QE may need to end soon. The Federal Open Market Committee’s January 29-30 2013 meeting minutes dragged down stocks today as investors took profits after the recent February 2013 rally became extended.  A sharp change in trend occurred after the meeting[…]

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Tech Leads Stocks Down For The Week On ‘Fiscal Cliff Clashing’

Tech Leads Stocks Down For The Week On ‘Fiscal Cliff Clashing’: U.S. stocks lost momentum to end the trading day with all the major indexes ending the week in negative territory.   The Nasdaq Composite Index was the biggest loser of the three major averages today falling by 20 points or 0.70% to 2971.33.  Fears about[…]